A Sophisticated Eclipse

September 27, 2013

Syria

Syria (Photo credit: Yishac – Isaac Alvarez i Brugada)

 

 

 

 

 

Dear Reader,

 

Greetings and Good Day,

 

As observers are expecting the UN Security Council, to finalize the draft resolution with strong wording on Syria by today, analysts are working hard to determine the future evolution of the Iranian nuclear file.

 

It is very comforting to have the Syrian crisis and the Iranian pending file proceeding towards a desired diplomatic breakthrough.

 

It remains to be seen how effectively events will unfold and we all look for a positive reflection on the Syrian refugees and Iranian population.

 

In Syria Mr. Assad should learn from the Sudanese President, who defied the international community for long, and now he managed to divide his country in two Sudan,and to witness present popular uprisings threatening the essence of the state. Sudan’s Al Bashir didn’t accomplish any significant reform and he only focused on oil profits.

 

And although Sudan and Syria have a different social composition, yet acting presidents are behaving in a similar way.

 

What President Assad needs to do is to consign the CW, repent & go to exile and for the sake of Syrian well being and of the entire humanity to facilitate the dawn of a new republic in Syria, or else he will higher the risks of his unknown fate.

 

Unknown fate! Let’s not forget that the strong resolution will mention that individuals responsible for the chemical attack in Syria will be prosecuted.

 

Often a sophisticated eclipse is much more remembered than a lot of shining rays.

 

Lebanon which is hosting a significant portion of refugees is in process to form a new government, where options are reduced to a cabinet for all or a cabinet of last resort.

 

Major aspirations are in place to have a government for all after the recent opening of Hezbollah expressed in the last speech of the general secretary Mr. Nasrallah.

 

It happens also that Lebanon has an extended mandate of its own parliament, which fact is playing against those citing the parliament representation, as only parameter for the new government formation.

 

In truth with the election of the Lebanese president approaching, the new cabinet “for all” can become holding the entire constitutional bottoms of power, hence in its formation there should be inclusion also of civil society components not resting in the extended parliament.

 

From above I see the upcoming formula as a cabinet of 30 ministers, where there will be 4 groups, 10 ministers for Hezbollah allies (8 March), 10 ministers for the prime minister and allies (14 March), 4 ministers for the president of the republic and the PSP, and 6 ministers for independents belonging to the social stream outside the parliament (intellectuals, bankers, captains of industry, business people, women in career, etc).

 

What is required today before tomorrow is that the PM designate will refresh his efforts in this direction by consulting again with the Lebanese mosaic.

 

It is also required that the Lebanese president during his visit to KSA next week will elaborate on this formula that will ultimately represent the extra mile effort to form the cabinet.

 

I am confident by now that within the next meeting of the 5 plus one and Iran in Geneva in October, the Lebanese will have formed the long awaited cabinet.

 

“Where objectivity, independence, clarity, integrity and valor persist, inevitably growth and prosperity will proceed”.

 

Thank You,

 

 

 

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Made In Lebanon

April 14, 2011

Satellite image of Lebanon in March 2002.

Image via Wikipedia

Dear Reader,

Greetings and Good Day,

Lebanon will unite around itself and young generations will defend their peaceful coexistence, their knowledge and the interests of peace will eventually prevail”

I ended my last appeal for Lebanese unity with the above opening, where I relayed on young energy to extract Lebanon from its actual stalemate.

While navigated, seasoned and expert politicians are appealing to exoteric measures and voodoo practices to come along with a cabinet to exert governance, it is our duty to express statesmanship and stewardship in laying a route map for the coming period.

If it is true that there is a strategic breach enacted by the frail security situation in both Gaza and Lebanon, it is also true that the interests of the Lebanese collectivity and of peace in the Middle East will gather to reinstate stability, justice, democracy and liberal rights.

Trying to define an objective essay for the Lebanese future in the upcoming period, one should start by understanding what will a new cabinet achieve and what are the tasks expected from it.

Only then pacifists can press and lobby for a process to be put in place and to pursue it.

Whenever we agree that the next cabinet should align with global governance, international resolutions and universal rights, its prospected action should be enacted within a range of wide acceptance by the majority of other nations.

Lebanon needs to agree on a defensive strategy to end all breaches against its sovereignty, it needs to define its relation with the state of Israel, it needs to put through an economic policy to strengthen prosperity and generate job opportunities, tackle its debt by controlling spending without affecting growth and increase its revenues by boosting tourism and investing on oil and gas production offshore.

Lebanon needs to render the civil society more cohesive and create a “commission for truth and peace” that will follow up on the STL findings whenever circumstances will permit.

Above all, the nation needs a creative outlook into the dynamics of the Middle East and transit itself from a static, erratic draw, into a fulcrum of expansion and wellness.

The constant must be to operate in governance to tutor all the citizens and revive the spirit and the soul of the citizenry and the civil society in a national togetherness based on a mechanism of tolerance and acceptance.

Any finding is pivotal for forgiveness and for righting the historic memory of the state.

The objective of awareness is to build the exchange based on transparency.

So how can a national Cupola start up and protect Lebanon?

Whenever Lebanese notables and politicians failed their mission in these delicate circumstances, the intellectual elite should be different.

Lebanon missed current opportunity to stabilize, become an “Orbi” parliament for world democracies, an investment platform for foreign funds and a pole for conventions specialized in liquids, finance, fashion and Jewelry.

The drama will be costly if it will miss all future opportunities; from here it becomes necessary to advance an argumented tentative plan.

It is a fact that the new parliamentary majority formed contrary to the past elections annunciations, is incapable to form a one sided cabinet and therefore as a first step the PM designate Mr Najib Mikati, should step down.

Secondly new consultations will take place and Mr Mikati will be named by all parliamentary blocs, to form a new unity cabinet based on a formula of 10 – 10 – 10. All ministers will be reconfirmed with the exception of Mr Safadi (to be replaced by a Mikati trusted), Mr Hariri ( by Mr Mikati), Mr Salam(by Mr Saniora), 

The mission of this cabinet will be to introduce few constitutional reforms, the referenda and the revision of some presidential powers; it will put also some positive restrictions on the speaker election, and proact possible laic reforms.

It will nominate all state vacancies, approve a new electoral law (3 electoral tickets, South, Beirut and all the rest), and finalize a modern defense strategy that will put all non state arms and depots under the state aegis and control.

Then submit it for national approval in referenda that will be conducted in concomitance with general elections in 2013.

Two wrongs don’t make one right and therefore, the resignation of ministers should not be summed up with a one sided cabinet that will bring havoc on Lebanon.

The right thing to do is to follow the process indicated above.

This is the recommendation that I introduce in the hands of the newly elected Patriarch in the upcoming event in Bkirki next Tuesday and to all the Lebanese collectivity.

Our duty is to form our own government with full autonomy and pave the way for the best environment in which hold the next general elections.

 The issue of the STL and the non state arms are of great concern, yet we need to put these in the correct framework.

Lebanon needs to define its relation with Israel to eliminate any requirement for popular resistance; hence the government must embark on direct talks with the state of Israel setting the metrics for a just, lasting and comprehensive peace.

Following, Hizbullah must take its destiny in its Lebanese hands, cut its financial ties to Iran, and clarify the truth about the past era involving it in a policy of regional opposing camps.

The party of God should seize the unique option and the tended hand by other Lebanese to exit the stalemate and go on true coexistence to save itself and save Lebanon.

Israel will be put under strain and will be asked to honor the floated Israeli Peace Initiative as a follow up on the Arab Peace Initiative.

This is an unrepeatable chance to achieve peace, and to obtain Shebaa farms and to draw the sea line for common projects of oil and gas extraction.

There is immediate need to detach Lebanon from any other theater and to get together to save the collectivity and create a national cupola, that will defend the state from any threat and danger. 

Lebanon is the country of tolerance and peace, acceptance and love, therefore no one community can erase or efface any other, and our destiny is to live our memory of civil strife, and do all possible to offer future generations better chances to enforce the common good and the shared entirety of the population.      

The ultimate purpose is to save Lebanon, the state and the civil society.

Unfolding events in Sudan, Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen, Oman, Jordan, Bahrain Algeria, Morocco, Iran, Saudi Arabia, China, Libya, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Cote D’Ivoire will not affect the Lebanese theater as far as the Lebanese are willing to implement their own national pact of acceptance.

Failure to do so will have an unbearable cost.

Lebanese sage guidance will reveal to be fundamental for the interests of all players stretching from Qatar, Turkey, Brazil, Armenia, KSA, Egypt, Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, Russia, Estonia, China, USA, France, GB, Germany, India and South Africa.

I call on the PM designate to decline the job, and on the Lebanese president to call on new consultations, and on all Lebanese groups to agree on the future process leading to a new unified Lebanon, where Hizbullah will become integrated in the strategic Lebanese interests.

The new Lebanese cabinet should be announced urgently, as Lebanon can not afford to succumb to a destiny of divisiveness and violence, which will threaten its status of being the homeland for tolerance, acceptance, openness and progress.

All Lebanese players must revise their positions, and get back to sanity, or else they will lose themselves and the constituency.

Vision is now in place, and there are no more excuses.  

 “Time again is offering Lebanon an opportunity, and failed politicians need to grasp it immediately”

Thank You,


Unity, Unity,Unity

April 9, 2011

Lebanese soldiers during the Mutasarrifia peri...

Image via Wikipedia

Dear Reader,

Greetings and Good Day,

“The modern demise is to fail the institutions and surrender to the vacuum”.

Few days ago I sounded the alarm for the strategic breach enacted by the frail security situation in both Gaza and Lebanon.

I also asked for a Lebanese cabinet to be formed by April 10 and to represent the interests of the Lebanese collectivity and guarantee the best chances for Peace in the Middle East.

It is unfortunate that the International Cupola I am longing for to contain the regional strategic breach and kick start governance in the Cedar nation is not being activated.

Lebanese notables and politicians are retained responsible in this mediocrity and poor spectacle where the interests of the country and of the population are put in strain due to their opacity and incapability.

The Lebanese elite failed once more to profit from unique circumstances where it could stabilize Lebanon and transform it into an Orbi parliament for world democracies, an investment platform for foreign funds and a pole for conventions, a tourism hub for multinational corporate looking for new destinations to hold major events specialized in liquids, finance, fashion and Jewelry.

While the regional environment is offering observers an ongoing panorama of refreshing pictures of mobs asking for rights and freedom, the Lebanese arena is once again hostage of failed politicians capable only to filter a possible compromise on the Interior ministry, an ambassador at the Vatican, who played a very bad role and surrendered the army in the infamous episodes of Mar Mikhael.

These politicians sold to foreign powers and following agendas disconnected with the Lebanese interests, are determining an absolute erratic phase in the Lebanese history.

From one side the stupid act of the ministers that caused by their resignation the actual stalemate and from another the stubborn decision by the caretaker prime minister not to deal with the new reality, are both bringing our dear Lebanon close to the abyss.

Simply put, we can not stay idle as Lebanese. Our duty is to form our own government with full autonomy and pave the way for the best environment in which hold the next general elections.

It is largely known that spinning issues are the STL and the arms of Hizballah used as a tool to model internal/foreign affairs, yet these aspects although very important should not put in danger the big picture of the state interests.

In fact those who are asking for the state to be tutored from non state actors, in this critical juncture, are making a big mistake by distancing themselves from the upcoming options in governance.

For Lebanon allowing one part to form a one sided cabinet, is a very bad political mistake, even if the trap can be to stage public demonstrations to bring the cabinet down once formed and gain international sympathy.

Considering the floated Israeli Peace Initiative as a follow up on the Arab Peace Initiative, our duty as Lebanese, in this particular momentum, is to form a consensus and to form a cabinet of unity, based on a 10 – 10 – 10 formula, that will guarantee to the nation the best chances to face any threat, and these threats will not disappear in such a volatile area such as the Middle East, where we will embark on daily basis on conjunctures and imperils.

There is immediate need to detach Lebanon from any other theater and to get together to save the collectivity and create a national cupola, that will defend the state from any danger.

Those who are claiming resistance to Israel are weakening the state to the maximum, by creating havoc, and diffusing the spirit of divisiveness. Mr Hassan Nasrallah should better create an internal commission in his party and revise all his policies adopted so far, and rethink his options.

Lebanon needs a “commission for truth and peace”.

Lebanon is the country of tolerance and peace, acceptance and love, therefore no one community can erase or efface any other and our destiny is to live our memory of civil strife and do all possible to offer future generations better chances to enforce the common good and the shared entirety of the population.

Until yesterday it seemed that the Tecno / politicians cabinet of 20 had better chances, but seemingly this is not the case.

In an ever effervescent and dynamic stage, actors are mobilized to cover their nudity to perform a piece of governance that will transit Lebanon into calm shores and prosperous finances.

Therefore I stress again, again and again, that there is no excuse for the politicians to project whatsoever different than a cabinet of unity that will supervise the general elections.

I herewith declare a National Lebanese Truce, and ask Hizballah to lower the ante as much as Mr Saad Hariri to make the ultimate sacrifice.

All leaders must play by national rules and form a cabinet of unity based on the principle of 10 ministers for each group, and 10 ministers for the president, the prime minister designated and the PSP.

All other options will fail or lead Lebanon to civil strife, which will endanger the fate of the resistance, of the state and of all the society.

The purpose is to save Lebanon, the state, the good resistance to any occupier and arrogant power trying to impede freedom in the south villages and sovereignty within the Lebanese boundaries.

In unity we grow, elsewhere we will be on our knees.

Beside it is only with a strong Lebanon that peace in the Middle East will move forward, and only with a strong Lebanon that a trusted deal to share off shore gas and oil in the Mediterranean can be achieved, for the best interest of both Israel and Lebanon.

This is my last call as I sense that we need to form the cabinet at the earliest.

Any wasted time will play against all political players and bickering at the end will be paid by the collectivity at a very high cost.

Unfolding events in Sudan, Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen, Oman, Jordan, Bahrain Algeria, Morocco, Iran, Saudi Arabia, China, Libya, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Cote D’Ivoire will not affect the Lebanese theater as afar as the Lebanese are cautious to implement their own national pact of acceptance.

The historic heart of the nation is calling, unity, unity, unity.

Only Lebanese unity will tutor the interests of all players stretching from Qatar, Turkey, Brazil, Armenia, KSA, Egypt, Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, Russia, Estonia, China, USA, France, GB, Germany, India and ending with Iran and Syria.

While I congratulate the US for the last minute agreement on the budget, my hope is high that the Lebanese also will take good example and agree on the state and the true resistance salvation.

Building a national “Cupola” around Lebanon represents the interest of the wide array of the Lebanese collectivity, the international community and of peace in the Middle East.

I call on the Lebanese President and the PM designate to try a last tour of consultations, a refreshing start and form the cabinet of unity with full autonomy and independence and submit it to the parliament.

The new Lebanese cabinet should be announced urgently and follow the guidelines of global governance.

The Lebanese Cupola/unity will prevail and it will press for dialogue and national consensus, maintaining in place the interests of peace, justice, resistance to the arrogance, stability and liberty.

Lebanon can not afford to succumb to a destiny of divisiveness and violence, which will threaten its status of being the homeland for tolerance, acceptance, openness and progress.

All Lebanese players must revise their positions and get back to sanity or else they will lose themselves and the constituency.

Power and influence are the expression of policy, and policy is made by the art of the possible.

“Lebanon will unite around itself and young generations will defend their peaceful coexistence, their knowledge and the interests of peace will eventually prevail”

 Thank You,