Greetings and Good Day,
“If understanding followed no rule at all, there would be no good in the understanding or in the matter understood, and to remain in ignorance would be the greatest good.” Ramon Llull
The first question,
Is the Lebanese fate to remain in ignorance?
Lebanese communities resident and around the world, often ask who is the Lebanese official that can address their common perceptions and dreams. This one official could be a personality extracted from all sectors of the productive society of labor. She or he can be a luminary, a scientist, and a politician of vision or an inventor.
Lebanese communities worldwide have a common denominator, of being sufficiently trained for resilience, endurance, and definitely skilled for smart and hard work.
These communities deserve respect for what they represent, an encompassing and widespread Diaspora of the willing.
Several waves of Lebanese emigrants established all over the globe, even in remote areas, to pursue wealth, prosperity for their families and education for their children.
Recent waves of emigration flew the Cedar nation since the late seventies up to date, and embarked in an unending relocation of physics.
No one politician in Lebanon had the decency to create or plan an environment for these expatriate communities, enabling them to regain possess of their historic national heart.
Yet the Lebanese are not condemned to live in political ignorance imposed by the lingo of the perverts, warlords and militiamen ruling without accountability since decades.
The Pyrrhic Victory,
Whenever we wish to leave behind us the efforts to modernize the state started by late President Fouad Chehab, at the time, and we tend to restart the clock of modern history from the Taef accord, we can easily assess that the so called national accord brokered by an infamous SS formula much similar to Nazi culture, failed miserably.
A mafia quartet ruled Lebanon since the nineties and they shared interests allotted between the economic empire of Hariri/ Sanioura and the pseudo resistance of Hezbollah.
This quartet comprised the Hariri collars, who ransacked the down town of Beirut for two nickels, financed by some Saudi Princes, the infamous duo Jumblat & Berri (branded under direct Syrian tutelage) and the pseudo resistance financed by the Iranian Guards. It systematically and collectively exerted the most rapacious role in embezzlement of state assets and finances, indebtedness galloped. Suleiman Franjieh Jr and Michel El Murr were the ramifications of the quartet, two stars adding no luster to the galaxy of profiteers.
Israeli and Syrian military presences, for different reasons, ended in Lebanon. An ill counseled extension of the Lahoud mandate precipitated the alteration of the status-quo; the UNCRS 1559 approval perhaps was one of many reasons behind the assassination of Hariri Sr. that followed suit.
These events ended the second era of Lebanese state disorder, being the first era already accomplished by the Mossad and other intelligence agencies since the days of the Palestinian national cause and the multiple errors of the PLO on Lebanese soil.
Lacking the findings of a national committee for truth and reconciliation, the Lebanese warring factions a “redux” of the Chinese warring states, thought to manage a post 2005 phase , by including Michel Aoun and Samir Geagea. De Facto, this effort to enlarge the number of thieves and incompetent war lords who changed their military suit into politicians pseudo finesse, revealed to further dissolve the fortitude of the Lebanese state. The existing gap between the citizenry and the harassed state increased immensely. The civil society was and still is excluded from the formula of the Lebanese Political state management as professed by the ignorant and idiots.
Two vertical blocs 8 and 14 March separated on purpose the Lebanese, to prompt fear and friction between the communities, albeit both alliances are different sides of the same coin.
Iranian funding reached the OTV and Manar TV, while Saudi funding was extended to Future TV and other anchors, media features were all controlled by regime figures, having allegiance as their masters to foreign and regional powers.
Lebanese minions of these two regional monsters were playing the game of their masters, until the Trash crisis exploded. Meanwhile a presidential vacuum was registered coupled to two consecutive illegitimate self extensions of the parliament. Nijmeh Square is taken hostage by Ave Nabih, a multi billionaire of corruption and incompetence.
Tactically, a Duo cartel ( Geagea / Aoun) was created similar to the understanding of Mar Mikhael, yet with different purposes, to exert possession of the Palace of Baabda perimeter, in an ultimate effort to ridicule the state and the citizenry.
The folly malady of Jumblat is unlimited and this old guard trampoline feudal idiot, thought to trespass the perimeter by unleashing the serial terminator of Candidates, Hariri Jr in a redux of Kill Bill, a Lebanese tragicomedy in its second act.
Moguls of greed and titans of robbery have no decency, in fact they also displayed undeterred the Lebanese intelligence agencies and the armed forces to attack and disrupt the efforts of the social protest to alter the formula of state demise.
Sarcasm runs high when apples are depicted as oranges and thieves become legal, while protesters have urinal tests and arbitrary detentions.
Pity the nation of outlaws, changing the constitution of laws into a rule of gangs.
Iran and KSA two great lands of valuable traditions and cultures, hosting great peoples, have both the misfortune to be governed by a bunch of crazy religious fanatics, prohibiting their own masses from expressing the power of the people. Two regimes of death, well known both for decapitations, summary executions and arbitrary detentions, while oppressing basic freedoms, act an interplay in the Middle East which transformed the SS into an SI formula .
In Lebanon this translated into the relentless agony of the second republic and Pyrrhic victories of Hezbollah.
After the liberation of South Lebanon a national precious piece of land represented hope, but alas it was squandered by Hezbollah, who consigned the collective national souls to international usury in actively taking part in every single cabinet since 2000.
Hezbollah efforts and narrative focuses on raping benefits, sharing power, controlling foreign policy and state affairs while refusing to be accountable for none. The Syrian quagmire is the latest example.
If this is victory, then what is defeat?
The second question,
Collective political sadism and treachery in state affairs brought us to register 100 billion US dollars of national indebtedness, increasing on daily basis, while public services are running short of any civil expectation.
Considering that residents on Lebanese soil can average 6 million individuals including the refugees, one need to accept that the per capita quota of debt is approximately US Dollars 17000 and augmenting without limits.
The Lebanese state affairs are bankrupt as much as the instated political system, that cartels, gangsters and thieves did put in place. Hence we can easily ask if the payment of the debt will incur as per the confessional division of the politics or it will take a modern turn into sapient reforms?
Perhaps it is high time to learn the teaching that what is built on injustice and usurpation will always be shaken, if not brought down even by the softest wind.
Lately analogies run along the political discourse in Lebanon, the first depicts the fact that Franieh Sr was pardoned and then elected president, as a prelude for Geagea to identify with this path, the second defines the Murphy imposition of Mikhail Daher at the time as revealing for the present day Franjieh Jr candidacy.
Well, Franjieh Sr was in adapt to govern, and his grandson is a great personification of the same, beside the analogy of Franjieh/Geagea and Daher/Franjieh is not effective because in both cases two wrongs don’t make one right.
It is much like the policy of the failed cabinet of PM. Salam deploying landfills or alternatively incinerators or exporting trash , to resolve the national dilemma and the sanitary emergency, while the Lebanese Eco movement indication is crystal clear, time and again. No one is willing to act.
While Lebanese futile thieves, thugs, gangsters, don’s, profiteers of greed, politicians of state demise, are pursuing the neglect and rampage of state assets, the oldest adage is that the civil society and Lebanese communities worldwide will continue to stick with the vision of state building and institutional reforms.
A modern electoral law, a law for gas and oil, decentralization at large, enlarged dialogue to bridge the gap between the state and the citizenry, monitored elections trilogy (municipal, general, presidential), management of national interests in a policy of optimization of resources, are few of many steps to be undertaken without hesitation .
The one and only solution for Lebanon is to transit from an actual cancerous and mortal state of public affairs, into a near future reformed and advanced public projection and revival.
A process that will need decisive and courageous immediate steps, definitely not the ones that black eminence Jumblat is suggesting or anyone of the old guard and pseudo intellectuals or acrobats of political engineering are recommending.
A Lebanese formula, up to the communities’ expectations is on demand contrary to the wrong assumptions of the old guard Berri & Co.
By contrast investigating the whereabouts of the social protest and blaming these young national heroes of the state maladroit policies, is misleading at best if not a conspiracy by intelligence agencies to play at will the hand of their political corrupt masters.
Enslaving the national soul will reveal to be the most lethal arm against Lebanon and it is manifested as open policy by the feudal lords and gangs of monopolies and pseudo bankers.
We the People’s Alliance will require announcing a date in December to launch the first national gathering in preparation for the major responsibilities ahead.
On an ending note it is always useful to assess that Gas & Oil are major vehicles, for regional conflicts, and these implications will stretch upping the ante for international intakes, initiating at the Fault of Tartous, passing by the Caucasus and Ferghana Valley up to the Kurili and the Subi reef.
Most likely Putin’s sanctions against Turkey are the tip of the iceberg that will shift the destination of Russian tourists to Thessaloniki, Sicily and Mallorca Island, while the Black Sea fleet will be busy for long time in tepid waters.
NATO will steadily apply for leasing the Lebanese air base to make sure BP, ENI, Total, Exxon, Nobel energy, interests are ensured and intertwined with the Lebanese state.
Will Russia and China opt for a third Rome in the making? I strongly doubt it. The best alternative remains a nuclear, new and neutral Russia, while the Chinese Popular republic gains more access to international financial platforms as recently witnessed in Frankfurt.
Anyone tuned from Lebanese thieves to Chekists at the Urals up to Beijing?
“ Veritas numquam perit” Truth never perishes, Seneca