Greetings and Good day,
In an objective effort to keep events under lenses of understanding, analysts are bruised in the MENA theaters moving sands.
Two major crisis are unfolding and these are the Ebola disease and the IS spread. We know that in Liberia mass protests against EBOLA are becoming a national threat against security and the entire health issue is becoming a window for international support mainly for American troops to step in the African continent.
On another front the advance of ISIS from Reqqa to Mosul or to Kobani, is being countered by a coalition of the Middle Eastern skies, enabling the US to enter the Syrian theater from a major back door after it renounced to enter it from the front door, for chemical reasons.
Narrowing the lenses from Djibouti and Sanaa, passing by Alexandria and Eshkelon, Basra and Falluja, Dammam and Kuwait city, we strikingly realize that Tehran’s national interest is much linked to Maroun Al Ras, be this for military reasons, ideological or geopolitical.
It is evident that in the Iranian nuclear research there is a Lebanese component and ramification and that is the Iranian eye on Israel, where the best shot for Tehran is to denuclearize Israel, while the best hope for the US mentor of Israel is to exploit the nuclear talks in an eternal process to alter the nature of the nuclear file.
In this long struggle a tiny petite nation stretched on the Mediterranean shores with important hydrocarbon reserve, Lebanon is being dented by vultures and is subjected to daily crimes as a nude prey for violent perpetrators.
To counter this continuous outrage, for once the Lebanese should get their house in order and set their own priorities.
Considering the regional standoff and the conflict/negotiation between power dinosaurs, I presume that the presidential palace in Baabda will remain vacant for long time.
What are the alternatives?
Obviously the Lebanese pirates, the Mafiosi of the Parliament family, the thieves and vampires of politics thought the easiest way of course, and that is to extend the mandate of the parliament.
This Lebanese parliament which paraphrasing the words of back to black ” left no time to regret, Kept his dick wet ,with his same old safe bet” .
This association for delinquency is also capable to gather in a quorum before or simultaneously to the mandate extension, and approve a law for the salaries to preempt the populace anger against the parliament extension.
This extension is a premeditated assassination of the public life in Lebanon and it must be impeded by a urgent judiciary power where skilled lawyers need to sue the parliament before it convenes for auto and illegitimate extension.
The second honest option even if more complex, is to hold general elections under any circumstance which must become a leit-motif for the nation independence and togetherness.
And it must bring in a new linfa and blood that will legislate for the best outcome of the people.
Whenever the Lebanese democracy will shift into autocracy/oligarchy in eternal perpetuity, the obtuse elite will shoulder the responsibility of civil disobedience and a judiciary case that will seek to unseat the parliament and the obsolete institutions no matter what the patriarch or Hezbollah positions are, each from his standing point of interest.
By contrast if elections will be held, then in each electoral district reformers will be identified and the indication of vote will inform eligible voters to cast a vote with only the reformers on it.
Or else if there is no reformer in an electoral district then a white vote will be the clear wide national rehearsal for the upcoming president to be elected by the people, all the people, which is not the same proposal tailor made by the FPM to suit “His boycott” monsieur MICHEL AOUN , an eternal candidate to become president for Lebanon, as if his insane policies and destruction are not sufficient for Lebanon and the Lebanese.
In the regional puzzle, the third Lebanese republic is the only clarity available.
This is the true hope of Lebanon, beyond the US diplomatic talks or the Iranian whispers or the visits of Dempsey or any other Iranian personality.
The Lebanese are clever enough to understand that insouciance is not synonym to modernism.
Analysts often are entangled by the intelligence community hierarchy, which poses a top down process of conventional wisdom, much inadequate nowadays to form intellectual leverage.
If only we check the exact reasons behind the intellectual demise of the QING Dynasty in China we would be relieved, on the direction of the world in 2020 with twelve billion inhabitants on the screens.
Honor, Sacrifice, Loyalty and Development is the new motto of all Lebanese including the Lebanese army which must do all possible to free the hostages.
Lebanon under no circumstance should be caught in an asymmetric war, which is originally created by Israel to topple down Hezbollah and by the US to manipulate Tehran.
Our agenda and interest in Lebanon is to unite, to elect a president, then a parliament, then go on reforms, raise the salaries retroactively, find the balance in the tenants law, define the national boundaries land and maritime, exploit the resources , boost the industry and exports, empower the economy, enhance education, empower research and invest in infrastructure ( the sea lane a route for traffic , wind energy and gas LNG ) , and then build an army of 300000, of which 150.000 combat ready forces in full swing within 4 corps , infantry, navy, aerial and Special forces.