Open letter to Michel Aoun
Greetings and Good Day,
“The doorstep to the temple of wisdom is a knowledge of our own ignorance” Benjamin Franklin
Assuming that the period starting today and ending on June 20 will have no significant initiatives in the Lebanese political field, one must think how to invest this time.
Considering where the Lebanese national interest stands, I tend to say that the idea of Michel Aoun about a trinity is not bad after all, if we look at it from a prism of evolving the understanding between FPM and Hezbollah.
This is a unique opportunity for Lebanon to amplify internal convergence, but how can Lebanon benefit from this? So far it is clear that the dilemma of Michel Aoun is that he knows he will be the president maker but not the president. The question is will Aoun be more powerful being a president without powers or by indicating, adopting and sponsoring a president coupled to setting a written framework of internal understanding?.
We all know that all agreements outside Lebanon like Taef and Doha had a bad constitutional shape, so for once we have a way to shape our republic.
Michel Aoun can trade the following written agreement with Hezbollah and the Future 1) a constitutional revision of the three main powers in the country, the president can call once general elections, the speaker can have the same post for maximum 3 times; the PM should have better distribution of powers within more checks and balances. 2) New electoral law based on a mix of 128 plus 48 deputies or 108 plus 20 as per floated ideas on the internet. The mix consists of coupling the actual vote with a national scale vote.3) The assignment to the FPM out of its usual quota of 3 fixed ministries during the next presidential mandate: Foreign Affairs, ENERGY and Administrative development.4) start up of a national security body , within which Lebanese armed forces research center will initiate security literature and will define the Lebanese national interest, humint /sigint will be allotted in conformity with this vision. General Shamel Roukoz will be the founder of this sensitive branch. Joint committees with Hezbollah will finalize drafts of defense doctrine. 5) Devolution and other state reforms in education and research will be explored and finalized.
In view of several regional and international dynamics closing the eye on Syrian refugees and yielding to Israeli strategic pressure, the FPM will have traded for above a great amount of sense to the republic.
This is where Saad Hariri and Michel Aoun can act for Lebanon. Hezbollah and the General are trying to figure out how to evolve the Lebanese equation and the above is the DAO. The Maronite lobby needs to extract the best from talks and we need at any cost to avoid chaos and retard in state institutions.
Helping on all parties involved MICHEL AOUN can visualize that we only have two candidates Mrs. Nadine Moussa, and Mr. Ziad Baroud, so he will propose to let these candidates have two TV debates and go for a democratic vote in the parliament .
Hezbollah , the FPM and the FUTURE having signed an evolved understanding based on above, will support Moussa, based on the common social/strategic/economic/reform platform ( wages, opposition to occupation, water and hydrocarbon resources, constitutional reforms, devolution, electoral law, defense doctrine), while Baroud can be endorsed by the rest.
The trinity alliance would have secured LEBANON a new president and a win win situation will be established for the widest majority of the Lebanese.
It is no coincidence Christians are leaving Lebanon, is it because their leaders are much local and shortsighted? I will end by saying that the approach of the March 14 movement is totally wrong versus the presidential file.
The maxim says “ Majnoun yi7ki w 3akil yif7am “ . March 14 a movement anchored on air, has its time high to move forward.
“O, let my land be a land where Liberty
Is crowned with no false patriotic wreath,
But opportunity is real, and life is free,
Equality is in the air we breathe. ” Langston Hughes
Thank You ,