Greetings and Good Day,
“There is no major drama, than the culture of self defeatism”
QE3 in the US should be focused on job creation hopefully, and if coupled with a simple and low fiscal/taxation policy, then it will generate a great impact on other issues such as immigration, tourism and health.
In China the easing will wishfully focus on structuring the local market to enhance consumer spending and extending benefits to private companies, within an efficient national program to define an urban strategy of development.
In the EU it is clear that more time is needed by Greece to deliver and bridge the balance gap, and time has to be given within a frame of adherence to a monthly basket of indicators for progress.
This is to be accompanied by as much as two impending bailouts to Spain and Italy, to be extended by the ECB as per a route of political and economic reforms in both Latin nations.
Definitely the economic dire straits will not render life easy also in emerging markets; therefore we can expect a hard work for the IMF all over the planet.
Where debt is flooding governments, national policies and defense strategies are becoming blurred, in fact it is not clear how a cultural civilization will expand, without a significant program of sustaining local projects by dedicated funds.
Hence the crisis of the global powers is evident.
While world powers are realistic in proceeding with their trade, they confirm their disagreement on geopolitics.
The battle is for control of energy routes and for balancing power projection.
Considering the most pressing issue Iran, in terms of altering the actual status quo, I think that once the entire build up of western forces is in the Gulf and the Mediterranean, the solo attack can be conducted any time.
We do know that the Syrian theater, as much as the Sinai supplies to Gaza are neutralized.
Therefore what is left is Syria’s missile and CBW capability and the Lebanese theater.
The latest events in northern Tripoli are to be read in this direction. The Assad Clan is using Tripoli to divert attention and pressure from itself, but it can’t play a hard ball as this will add intricacy to Hezbollah military plans.
The Assad Clan needs to dose disorder in Tripoli, measured by its chances of survival, without affecting the Iranian game in Lebanon through its proxy Hezbollah.
Israel sees Tripoli as an opportunity that disorder will spread and the entire Lebanese theater will be neutralized, to ensure the smoothest retaliation to its solo attack .
There are different options for the cedar nation to manage the crisis.
It can stand idle and see the conflict enlarged, it can be exploited by a number of security challenges weakening significantly the theater readiness, or it can lead the initiative.
How can the Lebanese state and army act to save Lebanon?
Can the state act in unison?
Even if the answer is no, I am convinced it is high time for Mr. Mikati to resign, or else Mr. Walid Jumblatt is required to save the nation by withdrawing his ministers and nullifying the cabinet.
What will follow will be an emergency cabinet, led by a former military, and composed by eight ministers.
Lebanon needs to realize that this is the truth hour, and there is need for a strategy of action.
What I recommend is to establish an emergency cabinet in one week time, to declare an emergency status, call up reserves, build up forces, and take over Jabal Mohsen.
Simultaneously and independently from Hezbollah presence, the army must take also control of all roads leading to the south and exert vigilance and full land control in the entire south for at least 3 months.
Lebanon can still save itself, if it acts today, failure to do so will consign to history an entire political establishment as the most deficient ever.
Let true patriots extract themselves from the axis of violence and destruction.
“May light open all minds and may Lebanon embrace the destiny of prosperity and peace “.
- Clashes erupt anew in north Lebanon after sheikh killed (dailystar.com.lb)
- Civil War In Syria Spilling Over Into Lebanon (fox2now.com)
- Tripoli trapped in Syria quagmire (dailystar.com.lb)
- Sectarian clashes kill 3 more in Lebanon’s Tripoli (jpost.com)
- Syrian civil war shakes Damascus-Beirut ties (onlineathens.com)
- Lebanese Army given green light to end Tripoli violence (dailystar.com.lb)
- Sectarian clashes continue in Lebanon’s Tripoli (worldbulletin.net)
- Sectarian clashes continue in Lebanon (aljazeera.com)
- Lebanese rivals continue battles over Syria (aljazeera.com)
- To the Shores of That Other Tripoli (markbyron.typepad.com)